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Cake day: April 10th, 2025

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  • I tried to type out ‘megalomaniac’ and unintentionally misspelled it as ‘magalomaniac’ in a comment i made somewhere yesterday.

    Went back to my comment, noticed this, and then realized… no, wait, this is a good misspelling, and wrote an addendum.

    I entirely support ‘magalomaniac’ and ‘magalomania’ as terms, lets get them in the DSM 6.

    Aside for Psychologists

    (And before a psych major or phd says ‘DSM V is the last DSM edition!’… no, its not, otherwise the TR version of V wouldn’t … be a thing… arguably it is the DSM 6…)


  • I get that.

    What… would actually make much more sense would be to index the minimum wage to some other, per state metric.

    A fraction of median income, some formula that actually does a good job of estimating a minimum standard of living…

    But, that will never happen, because … well basically half of voters and half state legislatures fundamentally either do not understand how to, or believe in laying a foundational safety net layer for society.

    The income and CoL disparities within the US are… basically as wild as the differences between EU member states, but our governance systems are… well, pretty much fundamentally broken at this point.


  • More than that would create private business deserts in poor areas, forcing the locals to exclusively patronize corporations. More of the population would need social program assistance to help pay for the increased cost of our domestic food supply.

    … If we’re talking about Arkansas… all of that has already happened.

    You know Walmart is… from, and based in Arkansas, right?

    20 ish % of the population is already below the poverty line… and the poverty line is basically ‘lets assume you have no rent and are homeless and just want to be able to buy food’.

    That means 20% of the state is already getting SSI, SNAP, TANF, etc.

    The US Federal poverty line is about $35 dollars a day. about $13k a year.

    If you converted that to a full time wage, thats about $6.75 an hour.

    The US Federal minimum wage is $7.25 an hour.

    50 cents of difference.

    Hasn’t changed since 2009.

    From 2009 to 2025, if you go by CPI, a single 2009 dollar is worth about $1.50 2025 dollars, that is to say, prices have risen by 50% in 16 years.

    Arkansas is literally an economic disaster zone.

    41% of the state struggles with getting their basic needs met, multiple independent observers and international aid agencies have compared the level of poverty, lack of education, access to healthcare… to areas of the world recently devastated by wars.

    You say the cost of living is 36-37k.

    That must be for a single person.

    As of Nov 24, the median individual income in Arkansas is $29,740.

    That makes the median wage about $15.50 an hour.

    The median individual income in Arkansas cannot afford the average cost of living for a single person.

    Arkansas is already the state equivalent of a mentally unsound person being deemed incompitent to make their own decisions and be declared a ward of the state.

    Bumping up the min wage would be more like doubling the care and support staff for the assisted living facility that is Arkansas, already massively dependent on Federal subsidies to the poor… and the laughably tiny tax rates on giant megacorps that allow said megacorps to dominate its economy.

    If you want to see what unchecked hypercapitalism looks like, you’re looking at Arkansas.


  • Median one bed apartment rent, across the entire US, is $1550 as of Feb 2025.

    Lets knock 20% of that off, to approximate a median studio apartment instead, give some leeway to poorer parts of the country.

    (there are not as good or reliable general stats counted for studio apartments, but a studio being 20% less than a one bed is… hopefully a reasonable, napkin math aporoximation)

    Ok, that’s $1240.

    Alright, now we use the ‘rent should be 30% of your income’ rule.

    Thats $4135 a month, rounded up very slightly to the nearest 5.

    Ok, 40 hours a week, roughly 4 weeks a month = 160 hours.

    4135 / 160 = $25.85, again rounded up to the closet 5 cents for simplicity, so thats your actual minimum ‘living wage’.

    If you wanna say a studio should be 30% off a one bedroom?

    Math works out to roughly $22.60

    If you wanna say an actual one bedroom should be the standard, works out to about $32.60

    Any way you look at this, $17 an hour is too low, that’s still… you can’t even afford a studio (as in, you cannot pass the rent to income threshold without a cosigner or double deposit or somethingnon your lease) you need roommates, you’re still living with your parents.




  • Ok whew, we are truly almost back to the 1890’s, Trumpublicans apparently favored era of America.

    19th Ammendment was passed back in… 1920.

    Basically this undoes women’s suffrage, so married women either just can’t vote, or will face massive uneccesarry hurdles voting.

    And of course transfolk as well, they’re now pretty much formerly formally (ducking autocorrect) disenfranchised.

    I wonder, do we have bootleggers (smugglers) for abortifacients, birth control, horomone therapy drugs yet?

    I guess that’ll be the ‘growth market’.











  • It doesn’t come off as snarky at all, no worries!

    Genuienly… Like, I myself am autistic, and I’m willing to bet a whole lot of other data scientist type technical data sets type careerists either are as well, or are close.

    What I’m trying to say is: It is genuienly difficult to be both well versed enough in the math and data… and at the same time have the requisite communication skills to present a whole lot of complex data in a way that people with less expertise can understand easily… while also at the same time not over generalizing so much that you are actually giving a just flat out false description or misleading metaphor.

    I appreciate your summary of what I wrote in the last post.


  • It is not a measure of public sentiment.

    That’d be like a consumer confidence measure, something that just polls the general public.

    The fear and greed index is based off of technical measurements of various active markets.

    Very broadly, it is telling you whether or not the financial class, investors, stock traders, corporations significantly involved in that, your 401k managers… are acting fearful or greedy.

    A middling score close to 50 basically represents ‘reasonable, stable growth’.

    Extreme fear means market participants are acting like a significant stock/bond downturn either is occuring or about to occur.

    Extreme greed means market participants are acting like a huge upswing in stocks and bonds are occuring and will be maintained in the future.

    You’re right that extreme greed isn’t a good thing, as it usually means a whole bunch of irresponsible financial bets are being made, that will later pop, and crash.

    At the same time, extreme fear is also bad… because it basically is that crash occuring.

    Maybe think of it kind of like some value you get back from your blood work.

    There’s a generally accepted ‘average’ value that means you are stable, healthy.

    Then, there is a range of higher and lower values that are… relatively normal, within reasonable, expected variations.

    Then, there are extreme values, way outside the acceptable range, either way too high or way to low, and now its time for your doctor to start looking at treatment options.